Global Warming: Catastrophe or Convenience?

Yesterday was Earth Day, so it seems appropriate to talk about global warming, which is supposed to be the earth’s biggest environmental problem. I remain an agnostic about global warming for two reasons.

First, I don’t trust computer models such as the ones used to predict how much the earth is supposedly going to warm in the next century. I’ve seen too many models designed to confirm preconceived notions for me to find any of them believable.

Freeman Dyson, generally regarded as one of the world’s smartest men, feels much the same way. “I have studied their climate models and know what they can do,” says Dyson. “The models solve the equations of fluid dynamics and do a very good job of describing the fluid motions of the atmosphere and the oceans. They do a very poor job of describing the clouds, the dust, the chemistry and the biology of fields, farms and forests. They do not begin to describe the real world that we live in.”

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Let’s Reduce Congestion by Tearing Out Freeways

Those wacky planners are always coming up with crazy ideas. Recently, a planner over at Planetizen proposed that cities should remove urban freeways.

His reasoning was simple. Freeways are ugly. Cars are evil. Freeways induce more driving. So if we get rid of the freeways, people will drive less and everyone will be happier.

Beauty vs. mobility?
Flickr photo by gsgeorge

I can’t argue with the notion that some freeways are ugly, but so are a lot of things and beauty, after all, is in the eye of the beholder. Everything else about this argument is simply wrong.

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This Is Going to End Well

The Tennessee Department of Transportation has given $35,000 to a Chattanooga group that plans to place 14 bikes in various parts of downtown Chattanooga. The idea is that downtown workers can use the bikes to get around, thereby getting healthier rather than polluting the air.

Okay, my first question is: $35,000 for 14 bikes? That’s $2,500 per bike! Now, that’s about how much I paid for my road bike, but I wouldn’t leave it unattended around downtown Chattanooga (not to insult Chattanooga; I wouldn’t leave it unattended in downtown anywhere).

Free bikes in Austin
Flickr photo by faster panda kill kill

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Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions

Last week, I reported that Vancouver’s Mayor Sam Sullivan says that we need density to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Similarly, Salt Lake City’s Mayor Rocky Anderson says that his region should build more light rail in order to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

Both of these ideas are wrong. Building light rail is increasing greenhouse gas emissions in Salt Lake City. Building high-rise condos instead of single-family homes is increasing greenhouse gas emissions in Vancouver.

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Denver Transit Unions Want More Power

Now that the Colorado legislature has a solid Democrat majority, the transit union wants to get back some of what they regard as their due. Previous Republican legislatures have ordered RTD, Denver’s transit agency, to contract to private operators half of all bus service in the region. Some of those private operators are non-union, so the unions want to reduce or eliminate such contracting out.

The way contracting works is this. RTD leases its oldest buses to private operators. They are required to maintain and operate the buses to RTD standards. Since they have the oldest buses, their maintenance costs should be higher. They also have to pay various taxes and fees that RTD, as a public agency, can avoid.

Operated by RTD or contracted out? Only the driver knows for sure.

Despite these disadvantages, the private operators cost taxpayers far less than RTD’s own buses. According to the National Transit Database (summarized here), in 2005, RTD spent nearly $119 per hour operating its own buses, but paid the private operators just $59 per hour — slightly less than half as much — to operate their buses. The private advantage per vehicle mile is not quite as good: $4.05 vs. $7.56 (54 percent as much), possibly because RTD gives the private operators the slowest routes.

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Nation’s Worst Transit Agency Counting on Gas Reaching $6/Gallon

The board of directors of the nation’s worst-performing transit agency agreed that they recklessly approved spending hundreds of millions of dollars on BART and other rail projects without knowing where they would find the money to complete and operate the projects. But they expect “gas would be $6 or $7 a gallon in the next five or six years and there would be a much greater demand for BART.”

Since transit riders only pay a fraction of the operating costs and none of the capital costs of transit, even if demand for BART increased it would not magically generate funding for a $4.7 billion extension of BART to San Jose.
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If gas prices don’t rise, they will be broke. If gas prices do rise, they will still be broke. Since it is the taxpayers, not the board, who must pay the cost, they don’t care. Sounds like a recipe for disaster to me.

The Planners Who Never Think

Back in January, the New York Times published an article claiming that New York City has become “the city that never walks.”

The writer, one Robert Sullivan claims to have “spent two years researching roads and transportation across the United States.” Yet somehow he has come to the conclusion that New York is no longer a pedestrian city.

The city that never walks? Flickr photo by Geff Rossi.

Sullivan thinks that New York should emulate, of all places, Albuquerque and Grand Rapids. He likes Albuquerque because they recently made their downtown more “pedestrian friendly” by converting one-way streets to two way. He likes Grand Rapids because they recently built a “new bus plaza that is part of a mass transit renaissance” (discussed here last week).

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Rail/Fire Plan Not Followed

Here’s an interesting congruence of two of my favorite topics: fire and rail transit. Albuquerque’s new commuter train was running by the Islete Pueblo, which was doing a prescribed burn of some of its grassland. The railroad tracks formed one of the borders of the fire, and passengers reported they could feel the heat of the flames as the train passed by.

Apparently, fire plans required that fire managers notify the railroad before doing prescribed burning, but they failed to do so. As New Orleans learned, plans aren’t much good if you don’t carry them out.
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Don’t forget to watch the hot video of the train going by the fire.

My, My, Light-Rail Corruption!

The Maricopa County Sheriff is investigating possible corruption in the construction of the $1.4 billion, 20-mile Phoenix light-rail project.

The investigation may relate to the project’s former construction chief. Last October, it was discovered that she offered to pay a consultant team extra money if it hired a friend of hers. When the firm refused, she revoked a $150,000 work order for the company. When this was made public, she was fired, but the agency decided what she did was only unethical, not illegal.

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