$44 Per Ride Subsidy

Last week, the Antiplanner commented on a proposed passenger train between New Orleans and Baton Rouge. Yesterday, The Advocate, a New Orleans weekly, published an op-ed on the same train.

The article calculates that the subsidy per ticket will average $44. Considering that the proposed fare is only $10 for the first few years, rising to $13 after ten years, this would be a horrendous subsidy, at least compared with other intercity trains. Subsidies to the average Amtrak train are about equal to the ticket price, not three to four times the ticket price. On the other hand, subsidies to urban transit average $3 for every dollar paid in fares.
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In comments on the op-ed, one of the defenders of the proposed train says, “in the 1930s in the middle of a Depression we built a network of airports that served as foundation for a commercial airline industry we see today.” The two clear differences are that most airports pay for themselves with landing fees, and the airline industry in the 1930s was rapidly evolving and growing. By comparison, the technology for the proposed train hasn’t changed since the 1930s, and passenger train ridership is declining. It is a continual source of amazement that so many Americans consider subsidies to an obsolete forms of travel such as streetcars, light rail, and intercity rail to be normal and acceptable.

More Ridiculous Rail Projects

Arizona has just published a draft environmental impact statement for a proposed moderate-speed (80-120 mph) passenger train between Phoenix and Tucson. The 116-mile route is projected to cost $4.2 billion to $8.4 billion depending on the route. At the low end of this range, the cost per mile would exceed $36 million, which should easily be enough to add four new lanes to the existing freeway (not that it needs them).

Louisiana wants to spend a mere $260 million for a so-called commuter train between Baton Rouge and New Orleans. Since then-state governor Bobby Jindal vetoed the idea of spending $500 million on a moderate-speed train in 2009, the new proposal is for a train whose top speed over the 80-mile route would be 79-mph. Initially, as few as one train per day would go each way, which pretty much make the idea a complete joke. Despite this, the idea is popular: at a recent forum for gubernatorial candidates, most candidates agreed that the state’s infrastructure was crumbling and they supported the idea of building more infrastructure that could crumble in the future.

Massachusetts officials are once again talking about connecting Boston’s North train station (which sends all-important trains to Portland, Maine) with its South Station. The connection, which would cover less than 3 miles, is estimated to cost $2 billion to $4 billion.
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Tyranny Lafayette

While Plan Bay Area is terrorizing the San Francisco area, Plan Lafayette is doing the same to the much smaller community of Lafayette, Louisiana (city population 125,000; parish population 225,000). Lafayette has a consolidated city-parish government, so the whims of one council can control what happens in the entire parish.

Plan Lafayette has four alternatives, and like Plan Bay Area all but one are various forms of growth-management planning, while the remaining one is “do nothing.” Not surprisingly, planners snidely imply that doing nothing will lead to more congestion and higher taxes, when in fact, the reverse is probably true. “Minimal provisions are made to reduce traffic congestion or to provide community services, because of the high costs of servicing a very large area,” say the planners. “Without a plan, government can only address issues in a reactionary versus a proactive manner.”

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Local tea party activists asked the Antiplanner to present a different view in a ten-minute slide show. The result actually is less than nine minutes, and they found someone else to narrate it, so you don’t have to listen to my droning, nasal voice.