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Driverless Cars Take Off

By | | News commentary, Transportation
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Self-driving cars will transform mobility, says Sebastian Thrun, the engineer who led the development of the Volkswagen and Google self-driving cars. The fact that Thrun’s article is featured in the New York Times constitutes a major endorsement from America’s “newspaper of record.”

This is the only major endorsement for driverless cars as represented by Thrun. The Huffington Post counts them as one of “18 great ideas of 2011.” Fast Company magazine declared Thrun number 5 on its list of the 100 most creative people in business in 2011 (and Thrun isn’t even a businessman).
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Maybe now we’ll be able to talk about real mobility instead of the artificial mobility provided by such obsolete technologies as streetcars and high-speed rail. “I envision a future in which our technology is available to everyone, in every car,” says Thrun. “I envision a future without traffic accidents or congestion. A future where everyone can use a car.” Sounds great to the Antiplanner.

Driverless Nevada, Here We Come!

By | | News commentary, Transportation
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The Nevada legislature has passed a law allowing driverless cars in the Silver State. The law directs the state’s Department of Transportation to “adopt regulations authorizing the operation of autonomous vehicles.”

Meanwhile, Volkswagen has announced that it has developed a car that incorporates a “temporary auto pilot” (TAP) that can drive at up to 80 mph. The car will steer within lanes, avoid and pass other cars, and obey speed limits. Unlike a fully driverless car, the temporary auto pilot is for highways only and can’t navigate streets. It also requires a human observer to watch for emergency situations. But it should greatly reduce accidents due to distracted driving.

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Driverless Cars vs. High-Speed Rail

By | | Transportation
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The Los Angeles Times says the California high-speed rail project “is a train wreck” that has become “a monument to the ways poor planning, mismanagement and political interference can screw up major public works.” But the newspaper still favors “Obama’s inspiring vision of a nation crisscrossed by bullet trains, providing cleaner, safer and cheaper competition to airlines and reducing reliance on gas-guzzling automobiles” because “the benefits still outweigh the costs.”

Apparently, all it takes is a totally unrealistic vision to persuade people supposedly as sophisticated as the editors of the LA Times. The truth is bullet trains are far more expensive than airlines (75 cents vs. 15 cents a passenger mile); Amtrak’s safety record is far worse than the airlines (1.4 vs. 0.1 passenger fatalities per billion passenger miles); and cleaner depends on the energy source (and powering trains with renewable energy won’t help much if all those trains do is displace some other energy consumer who therefore relies on fossil fuels). As for “reducing reliance on gas-guzzling automobiles,” the state’s own extremely optimistic numbers show that California high-speed rail won’t displace more than 2 or 3 percent of the state’s auto driving; and by the time it is built, autos won’t be guzzling that much gas anyway.

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The Anti-Driverless Car Movement Strikes Back

By | | Transportation
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“Hands-free driving. Cars that park themselves. An unmanned car driven by a search engine company. We’ve seen that movie. It ends with robots harvesting our bodies for energy.”

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True freedom is not having to have your hands on the wheel at all times.

Driverless Cars and the Law

By | | Transportation
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The Center for Automotive Research at Stanford (CARS), which has done much of the development of driverless cars, may join with Stanford’s law school to review the legal changes needed for driverless cars to take the road. The most important (and most difficult) change will probably be to liability law: true no-fault insurance systems would be more welcoming to driverless cars than the systems found in most states today.

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Podcars or Robocars?

By | | Transportation
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San Jose held a conference last week on podcars, the new name for personal rapid transit (PRT). Exhibitors included a variety of planning and consulting firms as well as at least three companies–2getthere, Ultra (which built the Heathrow line), and Vectus–that would like your tax dollars so they can build a podcar system for your city.

One of the members of the audience was Brad Templeton, a software engineer and advocate of robocars–which the Antiplanner calls driverless cars. Templeton notes that Sebastian Thrune, the Stanford researcher who led the Google driverless car program (as well as the Volkswagen program) made a presentation that was politely received–but none of the podcar developers admitted to knowing much about driverless cars.

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Crash Postpones Driverless Test

By | | Transportation
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The Antiplanner was looking forward to seeing Volkswagen run a driverless Audi up the windy Pikes Peak Road at racing speeds last month. Unfortunately, this test was postponed by a crash — not of the driverless car but of a helicopter that was aiming to photograph the test. (Maybe someone should develop a pilotless helicopter.)

Meanwhile, Google has been test driving a driverless Prius in California. The car obeys all traffic laws and avoids collisions with other cars and pedestrians. (The one accident was when it was stopped at a light and rear-ended by another vehicle.)

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More on Driverless Cars

By | | Transportation
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Between hiking, cycling, and doing research on transportation and tax-increment financing, the Antiplanner has been too busy to write a decent column today. So I’ll just link to a couple of recent articles on one of my favorite topics, driverless or autonomous cars.

First, the Kansas City Star notes that driverless cars are “just around the corner.” The article apparently also inspired an editorial cartoon on the subject.
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Second, the New York Times Freakonomics blog has a second article about driverless cars. This is a follow-up to the one it had last July. Freakonomics has previously covered other transportation issues, including toll roads and gas taxes.

Growing Interest in Driverless Cars

By | | Transportation
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As the nation’s transit industry slowly implodes from the weight of political control, the replacement for transit is getting some attention in the press. Researchers from the University of Parma are sending two driverless cars from Italy to Shanghai.

Researchers at Ohio State University have received a $1.5 million National Science Foundation grant to develop the software necessary to allow driverless cars to work in mixed traffic. Volkswagen, which plans to run a driverless Audi up Pikes Peak Road this September, is expanding its research program at Stanford University
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The New York Times Freakonomics blog covered the idea of driverless cars in detail (with reference to the Antiplanner). Curiously, the Ft. Worth Star-Tribune also had a recent article featuring driverless cars and other automotive innovations that did not reference the Antiplanner and clearly was based on entirely different sources. It is good to know that more people are thinking about the benefits of automating driving.