As the Antiplanner pointed out on Tuesday, the increase in mass transit ridership accounts for only a tiny fraction of the decline in driving. What else are people doing to cope with high fuel prices? Please take a moment and respond to this unscientific poll. Don’t worry about being precise; just make estimates.
1. Do you think you are driving less this year than last year? If “no,” skip to question 7.
If you are driving less, answer questions 2 through 6. Please answer with estimated percentages rounded to the nearest 10 percent (10, 20, 30, etc.). Keep in mind that the total cannot exceed 100; if the total is, say, 30 percent, that means you are driving 70 percent as much as you did last year.
I’ve reduced my driving by:
2. ___ % by using mass transit more
3. ___ % by walking and cycling more
4. ___ % by trip chaining, carpooling, or otherwise planning trips better
5. ___ % by not taking trips that no longer seem essential
6. ___ % by ______________ (fill in blank)
To the extent I am still driving, I am saving fuel by:
7. Driving the more fuel-efficient of my two (or more) cars
8. Driving slower (e.g., under 55 mph on freeways) to save fuel
9. Telecommuting from home more frequently
10. I bought a fuel-efficient car (30 mpg+) in the last year
11. I plan to buy a fuel-efficient car (30 mpg+) in the next year
12. In addition to or instead of the above, I am doing the following to save energy (fill in blank):
13. I have not changed my travel habits at all.
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For the record, the Antiplanner’s answers are:
1. Drive less? Yes
2. Mass transit 0%
3. Walk/bike 0%
4. Tripchaining, carpooling, etc. 0%
5. Cut nonessential trips 20%
6. Other 0%
I am also saving energy by:
7. Driving more fuel-efficient of two cars Yes
8. Driving slower No
9. Telecommuting No
10. Bought fuel-efficient car No)
11. Intend to buy fuel-efficient car No
12. Other No
13. No changes in travel habits No
I imagine there is some polling software somewhere on the web, but instead, just cut and paste the following, with your answers, into your comments.
1. Drive less? Y or N
If Y, I am doing the following instead of driving:
2. Mass transit %
3. Walk/bike %
4. Tripchaining, carpooling, etc. %
5. Cut nonessential trips %
6. Other % What?
I am also saving energy by:
7. Driving more fuel-efficient of two cars Y or N
8. Driving slower Y or N
9. Telecommuting Y or N
10. Bought fuel-efficient car Y or N
11. Intend to buy fuel-efficient car Y or N
12. Other Y or N What?
13. No changes in travel habits Y or N
Dan,
Did you read everything in the websites you linked to?
In Preparing for the Next Building Boom, I found nothing to indicate that the demand for SFD would decline to 25%, as you claimed. In fact, the largest growth in demand by far is projected to be SFD with small lots.
In Future Demand for Denser Residential Environments the authors point out that:
Growth of households containing older Baby Boomers may overstate their impact on the housing market, as many will be simply aging in place in the homes they already own.
Further, I read nothing in that rather long study to show the majority of the aging prefer something other than SFD.
Quite frankly, Dan, I just don’t have the time to be reading long papers which you claim support your assertion, especially when, after investing my time, I find the papers did not support your assertion after all.
Would you consider that, when providing “evidence” of your assertion that
“Aging populations tend to like SFA”,
citing specific passages from the links will make it easier for others to understand your point of view?
Dan: “Easy access to public transportation is either very or somewhat important (71 percent), as is living within walking distance of a food store (49 percent), a drug store (54 percent)”
Not sure why you included this passage, Dan. Millions of SFD homes are within walking distances of public transportation, food stores, and drug stores. For those for whom these are important requirements, SFD’s can still satisfy their demand.
AARP respondents may claim they wish to walk to food stores, and I’m sure some do so for small, infrequent purchases. But I doubt that many seniors are going to walk to the supermarket for their weekly provisions. Carrying bags or pushing carts for a couple of blocks is just too great a physical burden.
I just don’t have the time to be reading long papers which you claim support your assertion, especially when, after investing my time, I find the papers did not support your assertion after all.
They do indeed. Links in 48.
If you don’t want to believe, or misunderstand or mischaracterize my assertions, that’s OK, as policy-makers understand these things and are acting accordingly. Unless you have access to make policy, then its not OK.
But it still may be OK, as the market-driven senior-oriented developments going in around here all – all of them, every one – understand what I’ve been saying above, and are going in on the ground with these trends and principles in mind. And these developments understand attention restoration and nearby nature, too. Very impressive developments.
DS
SFD? SFA?
Single-Family Detached, Single-Family Attached (townhome, condo, some rental).
DS