A Nation of Homeowners or Renters?

Somebody over at Bloomberg named Karl Marx, excuse me, Karl Smith, thinks America should become a nation of renters. Homeownership made sense, he says, when ownership costs were low relative to rent. But now, due to something he calls “financialization,” homeownership is too expensive, and so we should abandon the American dream of high levels of homeownership.

It may be self-serving for them to say so, but realtors are right to say that homeownership is a key to building wealth. Photo by Chris & Karen Highland.

Apparently, due to fast-rising home prices, private investors such as pension funds are buying homes and then renting them out. Homebuilders are even building homes with plans to rent them instead of selling them. Continue reading

Jane Jacobs and the Mid-Rise Mania

The next time you travel through a city, see if you can find many four-, five-, or six-story buildings. Chances are, nearly all of the buildings you see will be either low rise (three stories or less) or high-rise (seven stories or more). If you do find any mid-rise, four- to six-story buildings, chances are they were either built before 1910, after 1990, or built by the government.

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Before 1890, most people traveled around cities on foot. Only the wealthy could afford a horse and carriage or to live in the suburbs and enter the city on a steam-powered commuter train. Many cities had horsecars—rail cars pulled by horses—but they were no faster than walking and too expensive for most working-class people to use on a daily basis. Continue reading

Making Massachusetts Housing Affordable

by Joshua Rosen and Randal O’Toole

Massachusetts covers 7,800 square miles of land, yet thanks to a variety of land-use rules 92 percent of its residents are confined to a fifth of that land. Even in the Boston metropolitan area, thousands of acres of open space persist. Satellite imagery reveals huge stretches of open, largely undeveloped lands as close to twenty miles from downtown Boston.

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Unlike Pacific Coast states that use urban-growth boundaries to keep people in existing urban areas, Massachusetts’ land-use patterns result from a variety of causes, including the abolition of county governments, several programs that aggressively acquire land for conservation, and large-lot zoning by the towns that control much of the land in the state. These policies and programs combine together to reduce the affordability in Boston and other Massachusetts cities. Continue reading

More Like an Artificial Shortage

As previously noted here nearly three years ago, Hong Kong is one of the densest and least affordable housing markets in the world. According to Chinese University of Hong Kong geography professor Ng Mee Kam, the region’s housing shortage “is more like an artificial shortage.”

That’s because Britain only allowed development on 25 percent of the territory’s land, and the government of China has continued this policy since it took over in 1997; the other 75 percent is owned by the government. The dense area packed with high rises occupies just 3.7 percent of the land and such high rises are prohibited on the other 21 percent or so that is developed. Continue reading

Housing and Homelessness

“A provision in President Biden’s American Jobs Plan to make housing more affordable by giving cities incentives to abolish single-family zoning has a number of flaws,” says an op-ed published by Real Clear Policy on Monday. “Most important, single-family zoning didn’t make housing expensive and abolishing single-family zoning won’t make it more affordable.”

Homeless tents in Los Angeles’ Skid Row. Photo by Russ Allison Loar.

Urban planners are so eager to impose higher densities on American cities so badly that they are willing to ignore the costs, whether those costs are unaffordable housing or the truth about densities. Unfortunately, almost every city in America has urban planners on its staff while almost no city has an antiplanner on its staff. The result is that no one looks seriously at the unintended consequences that result from their programs and policies, which are usually layered on top of (and supposedly remedies to) the unintended consequences of previous programs and policies. Continue reading

Repeating History

In 1947, the U.K. Parliament passed the Town & Country Planning Act, which limited urban development to 6 percent of the land area of the country. Housing soon became expensive. Politicians responded by promising to build lots of new housing, mostly high-rise but some mid-rise.

The new housing proved to be a disaster. It created lots of social problems including crime and congestion. Much of the housing was also poorly built. Meanwhile, housing affordability continued to decline. Today, only the upper classes own their own homes while most working-class Brits live in “council housing.” Continue reading

Miami Affordable Housing Vice

By Elijah Gullett

Note: As a follow-up to my report on low-income housing tax credits in Seattle, I asked Elijah Gullett, who is a student in public policy at the University of North Carolina in Chapel Hill, to look at affordable housing programs in Miami. This is his report.

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In 2007, journalist Debbie Cenziper won the Pulitzer prize for her Miami Herald investigative series, House of Lies. Cenziper revealed how Oscar Rivero, a Miami developer, ripped off taxpayers by promising the construction of affordable housing units and inflating construction costs for his own profit. In 2016, Lloyd Boggio and Matthew Greer, former CEOs of Carlisle Development Group, were found guilty of defrauding the government for affordable housing construction. Despite Carlisle being praised for their work in constructing “high-quality” low-income housing in Miami, they stole tens of millions of taxpayer dollars by inflating construction costs and making backroom deals with contractors. Even more recently, Pinnacle Housing Group and Related Group have been investigated for padding construction costs to steal money from government programs. 

Continue reading

Housing Affordability and the Pandemic

The median price of homes in Auckland, New Zealand’s largest city, grew by $100,000 in February, reports the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand. That means prices were growing by $25,000 a week. The good news is that these are New Zealand dollars, which are only worth about 72 cents U.S., which means prices grew by “only” US$18,000 a week. The bad news is Auckland’s median prices had already reached $1 million (U.S.$720,000) in January, so February’s price increase was only about 10 percent.

Click image to download a four-page PDF of this policy brief.

Like many American cities with sky-high housing prices, Auckland has an urban-growth boundary, locally known as the Metropolitan Urban Limit, which it adopted in 1998. Advocates claimed that this limit would reduce transportation, utilities, and other costs. Ten years later a former Auckland city planner could only say that the limit was successful because it contained growth within the limit. That’s like saying schools are successful because they contain children. Continue reading

Making Housing Less Affordable

The Colorado legislature is considering a bill to allow cities to require developers to provide “affordable housing” in their developments. This is called “inclusionary zoning.” Such requirements have three effects.

This five-story building is typical of the new housing being built in Denver. It has 871-square-foot one-bedroom apartments for rent for $2,400 to $3,600 a month. Someone would need an income of nearly $100,000 a year to afford one. Inclusionary zoning would make it even more expensive. Photo by Jeramey Jannene.

First, developers respond to the higher costs by building fewer units of housing. Second, to pay for the units they have to sell or rent at below-market rates, they raise prices on the market-rate units. Third, existing home sellers or landlords, seeing that new units are going for higher prices, raise their prices as well. Voila! Inclusionary zoning makes housing less affordable. But don’t believe me: here’s a paper that proves it using real-world data. Continue reading

The Myth of Exclusionary Zoning

Jerusalem Demsas, a writer for Vox, thinks people should “sue the suburbs” to eliminate their exclusionary zoning, meaning single-family zoning. Her example is Franklin, Tennessee, a suburb made well-off by the location of North American corporate headquarters for both Nissan and Mitsubishi.

As a result, the median home price in Franklin is higher than nearby Nashville. Demsas blames that on exclusionary zoning. But incomes in Franklin are higher than Nashville; when compared with incomes, Franklin housing is actually more affordable than Nashville’s. Considering all of the businesses located in Franklin, it is only a suburb in the sense that it is near Nashville, not in the sense that huge numbers of commuters pour into Nashville from Franklin every morning.

Demsas says that Franklin’s relatively small share of multifamily housing is evidence of exclusionary zoning. In fact, it is just evidence that when people get enough income, they prefer to live in single-family housing. Using 2019 American Community Survey data for more than 500 cities across the country, there is almost no correlation between the percentage of housing that is multifamily and the affordability of housing in those cities (correlation = 0.3 where 1 is perfect and 0 means no correlation). Continue reading