Some of You Nut Cases Are Making Us Serious People Look Bad

Some people criticized me last week for assuming that all the electricity needed for rail transit came from coal. This was a valid criticism, though less so than you might think. The last major hydroelectric dam in the Northwest was built in the early 1970s, but the first light-rail lines were built after 1980. So none of the incremental energy needed to power light rail came from hydroelectric sources. Wind power, maybe, but not hydro.

I am working on a revised version of my report on greenhouse gases and rail transit. To be fair, I will include both the assumption that electric power comes from coal and that it comes from a mix of sources. I’ll also try to show why, in most states at least, coal will be the source of power for any new electric rail lines. And I’ll compare transit with SUVs as well as conventional cars. I don’t expect these changes will greatly improve the outcome for rail transit, but we will see.

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To Light Rail or Not Light Rail, That Is the Question

Congress appropriated money to replace the I-35W bridge that collapsed in Minnesota, but not to increase capacity or add light rail to the bridge. The Minnesota Department of Transportation estimates that each day the replacement is delayed costs Minnesota travelers more than $400,000.

Yet Minneapolis Mayor Rybak is willing to delay the reconstruction by a few months, or a few years, so they can put a light-rail line on the new bridge.

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Raise Gas Taxes for Bridges?

I am usually a poor political prognosticator. But on Monday, I wrote, “I foresee a movement to raise taxes to replace thousands of bridges.”

Today, the Associated Press reports that Alaska Representative Don Young wants to raise gas taxes to replace the hundreds of bridges that are in poor condition. “May the sky not fall on me,” he says.

Artist’s rendering of the Gravina Bridge, aka the Bridge to Nowhere, which is to connect Gravina Island (population 50 plus an airport) with Ketchican, Alaska. The island is now well served by frequent ferry service.

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“So What? Everything Is Subsidized.”

Beaverton Round, a transit-oriented development in a Portland suburb, is going bankrupt — again — for the third time. It has already received more than $10 million in subsidies, and some people want to give it even more.

The Beaverton Round. Photo by John Charles.

“All residential construction is subsidized,” says Portland planner Carl Hosticka. So he sees nothing wrong with throwing more good money after bad.

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Who Is to Blame?

Over the next few weeks, we are going to hear a growing debate over who is to blame for the bridge collapse. So far, I’ve heard:

  • Governor Pawlenty (for vetoing a spending bill)
  • The Taxpayers’ League of Minnesota (for encouraging smaller government)
  • The Hiawatha light-rail line (for spending money that could have been spent on the bridge)
  • Congress (for funding new projects but not maintenance)
  • Global warming

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Who are your nominees?

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Bridge Collapse

It is too soon to know what caused the I-35 bridge in Minneapolis to collapse suddenly last night (4.9mb video). But at least one report indicated that a 2006 inspection of the forty-year-old bridge found “fatigue cracks and bending of girders that lift the approaching span.”

Another report says that federal inspectors rated the bridge “structurally deficient” in 2005, although it added that 80,000 bridges in the U.S. have earned that mediocre rating. However, as long ago as 2001, the state found that the bridge “exhibited several fatigue problems, primarily due to unanticipated out-of-plane distortion of the girders. Concern about fatigue cracking in the deck truss is heightened by a lack of redundancy in the main truss system.”

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Charlotte Light-Rail Boondoggle

Cost overruns on a light-rail system in Charlotte, NC, have proven so great that voters have collected enough signatures to put a measure on this November’s ballot to repeal the half-cent sales tax that supports rail. To support the program, the University of North Carolina – Charlotte (UNCC) published a supposedly independent study claiming to find that light-rail was a good investment.

The study only added to the project’s embarrassment, however. First, critics claimed that some of the data in the study were obtained from biased sources, and the authors of the study admitted that the data came from a pro-light-rail web site. Based on this, the UNCC study concluded that there were no cost overruns, which the authors later agreed was wrong.

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Is Portland Green?

Congratulations to Portland for conning another gullible publication into declaring it a wonderful place to live based on intentions rather than results. A magazine named Grist has just declared Portland to be the second greenest city in the world.

What is the basis for this declaration? Why, Portland has a plan, you see, to reduce greenhouse gases. It also has light-rail transit “to help keep cars off the road.”

Yes, and that plus $5 will buy you a cup of coffee at Starbucks.

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It Was Bound to Happen

Most city residents don’t want density. But they also don’t want urban sprawl. How do we deal with this conundrum? The obvious (but stupid) answer is to put all new residents in a few extremely high-density developments. That solution prevents sprawl without densifying most existing neighborhoods.

So I was not surprised when Jim Karlock pointed out to me that Portland City Commissioner Sam Adams proposed in a speech last week that Portland “should plan to accommodate our share of projected regional growth — Metro anticipates 300,000 more Portlanders by 2035 — within 1/4 mile of all existing and to-be-planned streetcar and lightrail transit stops.” This would, he said, “encourage responsible, transit-supportive development while protecting our existing single-family neighborhoods from undo growth.”

By which, I presume, he means “undue growth.” (I previously mentioned a news report of this speech but had not read the complete text.)

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The Spotted Owl and the Planner

Many people know that the northern spotted owl stopped the cutting of old-growth forests, but few people know why. In the late 1980s, the Fish & Wildlife Service listed the spotted owl as a threatened species because it relies on old-growth forests, which were rapidly being cut, as its habitat. This contributed to a huge decline in timber harvests from federal lands after 1990.

Fish & Wildlife Service photo.

The spotted owl is a predator whose main prey are northern flying squirrels, red-backed voles, and other species that mainly live in old-growth forests. But the spotted owl is not the stop of the food chain: it is preyed upon by the great grey owl, which especially goes after undefended juveniles and eggs. When given the opportunity, the great grey will swoop down on spotted owl nests, knocking the eggs or young out of the nests, and then feeds on them on the forest floor.

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