September 2021 Driving 98.2% of September 2019

Driving on rural interstates surged in September, according to data released yesterday by the Federal Highway Administration. Americans drove 9.3 percent more miles on rural interstates in September 2021 than September 2020, and 4.7 percent more than in September 2019. Overall driving was 7.9 percent more than September 2020 and 1.8 percent less than September 2019.

Motor vehicles and highways have come closer to recovering from the pandemic than any mode of mass transportation.

Driving reached 100.5 percent of pre-pandemic levels in June, but since then has hovered around 98 percent. There were two more workdays in June 2021 than 2019, which helps explains why driving was so much greater in June 2021. July 2021 had one fewer work day than 2019, August was the same as 2019, and September was one more than in 2019.

While Americans are driving more, traffic patterns are different. With so many people working at home, morning rush hour is less congested, but with those people doing errands in the afternoons, afternoon rush hour is lengthened, though not quite as congested as before the pandemic.
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The increase in urban interstate travel may be partly due to more truck traffic meeting the increase in on-line purchases. But it is probably more due to pent-up demand for intercity vacations and business travel.

Overall driving grew the most in Arizona (13.2% more than in 2019), Idaho (8.8%), Montana (7.9%), Florida (7.5%), and South Dakota (5.6%). It fell short of pre-COVID levels the most in Massachusetts (-9.9%), Pennsylvania (-9.5%), Delaware (-7.4%), Maryland (-6.0%), and California (-5.3%).

In short, after adjusting for the number of work days in the month, driving still has not recovered to pre-pandemic levels. But it is a lot closer to full recovery than airlines, Amtrak, or public transit.