October Driving 97.7% of Pre-Pandemic Levels

Americans drove 277.5 billion vehicle-miles in October 2021, which was 7.1 percent more than in 2020 but 2.3 percent less than in 2019, according to data released yesterday by the Federal Highway Administration. Driving on rural interstate highways was 4.0 percent greater than in October 2019 and total rural driving was 0.3 percent greater, while urban driving was 3.5 percent less than in 2019.

Transit numbers are from the National Transit Database; Amtrak numbers are from Amtrak’s Monthly Performance Report; air travel numbers are from the Transportation Security Administration.

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The slight reductions in urban driving could be because the pandemic has reduced the number of events people can go to when they are not working. Increased rural driving could be due to the increased amount of trucks delivering goods to people who are buying stuff instead of spending their incomes on restaurants and other services. However, the Federal Highway Administration estimated that heavy trucks made up only 14 percent of rural driving and 24 percent of rural interstate driving before the pandemic, so I suspect some of the increase in rural interstate driving is people using their automobiles on trips where they previously would have taken a bus, train, or plane.

The biggest increases in driving (relative to 2019) were in Montana (12.3%), South Dakota (9.2%), Arizona (7.3%), Colorado (4.1%), Mississippi (3.3%), and New Mexico (3.0%). Driving also grew by 2 to 3 percent in Idaho, Florida, North Carolina, and Alaska. Driving declined (relative to 2019) by 6 percent or more in Delaware, Massachusetts, Hawaii, New York, Oregon, Minnesota, Vermont, California, Illinois, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and the District of Columbia.