Economists Rule!

Before the weekend, Hillary Clinton was expected to win Indiana by 5 percent and lose North Carolina to Barack Obama by only about 8 percent. Then, on Sunday before the election, Hillary made the mistake of offending a group of people who she thought were irrelevant.

You know the rest: Hillary barely won 1 percent more votes than Obama in Indiana and lost North Carolina by more than 14 percent.

What seemingly innocuous group did Hillary offend? Economists, of course. On ABC’s Sunday morning show, George Stephanopoulos asked, in reference to her gas-tax holiday plan, “can you name an economist who thinks this makes sense?”

“I’ll tell you what, I’m not going to put my lot in with economists,” Hillary answered. “If we had a president who used all of the tools of the presidency, we would design it in such a way where it would be implemented effectively.”

Apparently, economics is not one of the tools of the presidency, or at least of a Clinton presidency. She adds that she wants to solve the housing crisis by freezing interest rates, solve the health care crisis by freezing health care costs, and solve the energy crisis by making the oil companies pay to find the solution — all ideas that most economists would say are self-defeating.

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I am not sure Americans are as knowledgeable as Ford claimed, but apparently some know something about economics. Hillary’s television ads said, “Let’s make the oil companies pay the gas tax.” How dense do you have to be to not realize that the oil companies will simply pass that cost onto consumers, thus saving people nothing? Or, seeing their profits decline, that the companies will invest less in future energy supplies, thus making oil prices rise even more.

Obama called Hillary’s plan “pandering,” but in fact most electioneering today is pandering. What made Hillary’s plan particularly absurd was that she was proposing to do something before she would be elected. If the idea was so good, why just do it for the summer? Why not promise to make it permanent if she is elected president? Those kinds of questions would certainly make some people question her sincerity.

The gas tax debate displaced the Jeremiah Wright debate in the last week of the campaign. Apparently, enough people understand enough economics to cause Hillary to lose some votes.

H.L. Mencken famously said that “no one ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American people.” But it is possible, just possible, that Hillary is losing because she underestimates the intelligence of American voters. Maybe she should have pandered to economists.

Update: Fake Steve Jobs predicts that Hillary will quit the race today (Thursday). I suspect he may be right — her only reason to stay in the race now is to raise enough money to repay the $11.4 million she personally loaned her campaign. Even if Fake Steve is wrong, his post on how Hillary tried to raise money in Silicon Valley two years ago is hilarious (and may even be slightly true).

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About The Antiplanner

The Antiplanner is a forester and economist with more than fifty years of experience critiquing government land-use and transportation plans.

One Response to Economists Rule!

  1. the highwayman says:

    McCain is pushing this gas tax holiday thing too. For that matter since when has any body in the current Bush government cared about economic aspects other than lining their own pockets.

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