Is Transit Safer Than Driving?

“Is public transit really safer than driving?” asks Unscientific American. I call it “unscientific” because the magazine’s methodology was to ask Todd Litman, a Victoria BC transit advocate who has done work for the American Public Transportation Association — not exactly an unbiased observer.

Six people died in this 2016 collision between a school bus and a transit bus in Baltimore. Photo by National Transportation Safety Board.

Litman compared auto fatality rates per billion passenger-miles on all urban roads in 2022 with those on all rail transit in 2013 and all transit buses in 2021. The first problem with this approach is the differences in years: transit carried 40 percent fewer passenger-miles yet killed about 40 percent more people in 2022 than in 2013, so the fatality rate for rail transit was much higher in 2022. Continue reading