Americans drove 2.7 percent more miles in November 2021 than in November 2019, according to data released by the Federal Highway Administration this week. Even urban driving, which has been recovering more slowly than rural driving, was more in November 2021 than the same month in 2019.
Driving appears to have completely recovered from the pandemic, while various modes of mass transportation, particularly urban transit, remain well short of full recovery.
November driving was greater than in 2019 in 36 states. The greatest increases were in South Dakota (30.6%), Arizona (22.5%), Missouri (17.4%), and Kentucky (15.7%). The greatest shortfalls were in West Virginia (-24.6%), California (-14.3%), New Jersey (-9.1%), Massachusetts (-6.7%), and Minnesota (-6.8%). Although New Jersey driving declined, New York driving grew by 1.5 percent. Except for West Virginia, none of these numbers are too surprising.
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As I’ve noted before, we seem to have reached the New Normal. COVID has gone from pandemic to endemic. That means it is not going away and neither are fears about disease transmission in crowded areas.
Large numbers of people will continue to work at home, many downtown offices will remain empty, and the automobile will still be the best way for people who want to avoid infectious diseases to travel. The various forms of mass transportation will continue to recover slowly, but transit will probably peak at about 75 percent of pre-pandemic levels; Amtrak at 90 percent; and air travel at 95 percent.
“Whoopi Goldberg stunned by testing positive for COVID: ‘I’ve done everything I was supposed to do’ Goldberg stated that her shock came from the fact that she was fully vaccinated, had received the vaccine booster shot and hadn’t gone anywhere other than her house or “done anything.” “But that’s the thing about the omicron, you just don’t know where it is. You don’t know where it is, who’s got it, who’s passing it,” she said. “It’s one of those things where you think I’ve done everything I was supposed to do. Yeah, it doesn’t stop omicron, and that’s the problem with a variant, because it gets stronger and does different stuff to you, so, you know, unless everybody gets vaccinated this is what we’re going to be facing for the next, you know, little while,” Goldberg added.”
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That means it is not going away and neither are fears about disease transmission in crowded areas.
” ~anti-planner
Maybe. Or maybe not.
After all, the looming MERS – – something far, far, far, far, far, far more deadly than covid – – hasn’t scared people in Saudi Arabia off of the subways in Riyadh.
On the other hand, the change to hybrid work for the lion share of office works doesn’t need people to be in fear. The _catalyst_ was the covid pandemic. Even before it, far more people teleworked than used transit.
Even if the hybrid system of 3 days in, 2 days out takes holds for every office worker, that’s still a 40% drop in the use of transit.