Driverless Car Update

San Francisco may soon have two self-driving taxi services as Waymo and Cruise have applied to begin such operations in May. Perhaps not coincidentally, this has been accompanied by a spate of complaints that self-driving cars have been unable to deal with San Francisco’s fog, are delaying buses, and unexpectedly stop in the middle of traffic.

Meanwhile, in London, Bill Gates recently tested an experimental driverless car developed by a company called Wayve and was very happy with the results. Unlike Cruise and Waymo’s cars, which depend heavily on detailed maps of roads and terrain, the London cars just learn to deal with traffic like any human driver. That means that, once they can drive in London, they’ll be able to drive in any city in Great Britain without any further preparatory work.

One thing that has bothered me about the Cruise/Waymo cars is that they aren’t completely driverless. Instead, every car is remotely monitored by a human who is supposed to be able to take over if the cars get into a situation it doesn’t understand. It may be that the delays that people are complaining about are due to the remote workers trying to monitor too many cars at once.

I don’t know if Wayve has remote monitors, but if not their technology may be the one that prevails. In any case, while we aren’t getting driverless cars as soon as some people hoped, we may get them sooner than some people think today.

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About The Antiplanner

The Antiplanner is a forester and economist with more than fifty years of experience critiquing government land-use and transportation plans.

2 Responses to Driverless Car Update

  1. rovingbroker says:

    It’s OK. They have AI and it can predict …

    Wayve AI Driver

    Wayve AI Driver is an autonomous driving software system that enables fully driverless operation when integrated with a vehicle alongside a sensor and compute suite. Think of it as the artificial intelligence brain that enables self-driving vehicles to operate without a human driver present.

    Wayve AI Driver uses camera and radar data from the car’s sensors to detect objects and obstacles around the vehicle, predict how other road users will move, and then perform a safety-verified motion plan for driving.

    Wayve AI

    On the other hand, prediction is hard — especially about the future.

  2. kx1781 says:

    Human drivers do have a map in their head.

    Wayve at a min needs maps to do routing.

    Even if the tech was near to being fully robo – and it’s likely not – it’ll likely take us another 10 – 20 years to ramp up the chip manufacturing capacity needed for this stuff.

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