Irrelevance Across America

Something calling itself the “Accessibility Observatory” at the University of Minnesota has mapped transit accessibility for most of the nation’s 50 largest urban areas (Jacksonville, Memphis, Oklahoma City, and Richmond were left out for lack of transit data). Different colors on the maps show how many jobs are accessible from each point within 30 minutes by transit.

Click image to download report.

“At the highest levels,” gushes the report, “millions of jobs are accessible by transit within 30 minutes.” To be precise, millions of jobs are accessible by transit in Manhattan. In Chicago, the nation’s second-largest concentration of jobs, under a million jobs are accessible. San Francisco is under 750,000 jobs; Portland is under 500,000 jobs, and places like Tampa are under 250,000.

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Data for the nation’s 51 largest metro areas (less New York) based on Wendell Cox’s analysis of census data.

Based on these data, the best way to increase transit ridership is to entice (or force) more jobs into downtown areas. But why increase transit ridership or transit access? As the Antiplanner has previously pointed out, transit isn’t even used by most commuters who live in households without cars, much less those who live in households with cars.

Why, for that matter, does the Accessibility Observatory only observe transit access when transit is irrelevant to all but a tiny proportion of the population of every metro area outside of New York (and, to a lesser degree, Chicago, San Francisco, Washington, Boston, and Philadelphia)? The observatory should prepare a companion report showing the number of jobs within 30 minutes of every point by auto. For most metropolitan areas, however, it is likely that almost the entire map would be the color of whatever was the number of jobs in that metro area. If so, then the real lesson is that increasing job accessibility means increasing access to autos.