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Notes from Orlando

PowerPoint shows from the 2010 Preserving the American Dream conference are posted on the American Dream Coalition web site. Here are a few interesting comments made at the conference.

“The U.S. Department of Transportation was created on April Fools Day, 1967. Today, it produces a product (mobility) that it doesn’t understand and doesn’t care much about it.” — Alan Pisarski

“Why don’t people live closer to work? Less than 20 percent of travel is work-related, and 30 percent of households do not have any commuters. So people don’t base where they live on where they work.” — Steve Polzin

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“Historically, higher-density housing housed lower income families. Now we are building high-density housing for high-income households. But we can’t assume that the travel habits of of people who lived in historic higher densities will apply to new higher densities.” — Steve Polzin

Wasting Your Time

The Texas Transportation Institute’s 2009 congestion report estimated that motorists wasted more than 4 billion hours in traffic in 2007, or about 36 hours per commuter. One way that is often proposed to reduced this waste is getting people to ride transit.

But the cure may be worse than the disease, suggests Steven Polzin of the Center for Urban Transportation Research at the University of South Florida. Polzin points out that the 2009 National Household Transportation Survey found that the average speed of commuters who take cars is 33 mph, while the average speed of commuters who ride transit is only 12 mph.

Rapid transit? Not hardly. Most light-rail lines average 20 mph, and this Hudson-Bergen train is even slower than that.
Flickr photo by WallyG.

Polzin estimates this represents 3 billion hours of wasted time. Although that’s less than three-quarters of the amount of time wasted by congestion, far fewer people commute by transit than by car — 7 million vs. 124 million in 2008. So 3 billion hours is well over 400 hours per transit commuter.

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Back on the Trail Again

In honor of the 65th birthday of Ed Crane, the beloved founder of the Cato Institute (and the only person who has ever given the Antiplanner a real job, instead of just a consulting contract), the Antiplanner is taking today off to go hiking in the Mt. Jefferson Wilderness. (Don’t tell Ed; his actual birthday is tomorrow but I am celebrating a day early.)

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In the meantime, enjoy this article by Steve Polzin, a research from the Center for Urban Transportation Research at the University of South Florida. At the risk of reducing Polzin’s academic credibility, I have to say I agree with almost everything he says.

Energy Crisis Solved?

“You never know what the future will bring,” says Steve Polzin, of the Florida Center for Urban Transportation Research. “If we are not careful, we could do some things that would make corn ethanol look like a wise investment.”

What things are those, Steve? For his answer, take a look at his July 11 article in the Urban Transportation Monitor. The recent Surface Transportation Policy Commission recommended investing in intercity rail, saying that trains “consume 17 percent less energy per passenger mile than air carriers and 21 percent less than automobiles.”

But, Polzin notes, the recently passed Energy Independence Act requires autos to become 40 percent more efficient in the next 20 years, and the next generation of airplanes is also likely to be at least 17 percent more efficient than the current one. So, Polzin asks, why should we “spend decades and billions for intercity rail”?

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