NY Subway “Major Disseminator” of COVID-19

“New York City’s multitentacled subway system was a major disseminator — if not the principal transmission vehicle — of coronavirus infection during the initial takeoff of the massive epidemic that became evident throughout the city during March 2020,” reports an MIT study published two days ago. “Maps of subway station turnstile entries, superimposed upon zip code-level maps of reported coronavirus incidence, are strongly consistent with subway-facilitated disease propagation.”

The study notes that MTA’s decision to reduce train service may have actually “accelerated the spread of coronavirus throughout the city” because it prevented social distancing aboard the subway cars. Buses don’t escape notice, as the study suggests that they “may have served as secondary transmission routes out to the periphery of the city.”

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Correlation doesn’t prove causation, but increasing evidence indicates that, when the seriousness of the pandemic became clear enough to shut down restaurants and other “non-essential” businesses, transit should have been shut down as well. Instead of giving transit agencies a $25 billion bonus for spreading disease, efforts should been made to find truly safe transportation for any “essential” workers who were dependent on transit.

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About The Antiplanner

The Antiplanner is a forester and economist with more than fifty years of experience critiquing government land-use and transportation plans.

6 Responses to NY Subway “Major Disseminator” of COVID-19

  1. Frank says:

    “As of 9 pm on April 15, 12,999 coronavirus deaths had been reported in the New York urban area”

    What constitutes a “case” of coronavirus? Is it counting biomarkers on an irregular RNA test with a large margin of error that fluctuates erratically between positive, negative, false positive and false negative?

    How about death from coronavirus? According to the CDC, In cases where a definite diagnosis of COVID–19 cannot
    be made, but it is suspected or likely (e.g., the circumstances
    are compelling within a reasonable degree of certainty), it is acceptable to report COVID–19 on a death certificate as “probable” or “presumed.”

    Questionable testing, bogus death reporting, and a 0.1% infection rate with 80% having mild symptoms.

    Totally worth destroying the economy!

  2. prk166 says:


    Correlation doesn’t prove causation,
    ” ~ anti-planner

    That MIT study is speaking to the __causation__ of the spread. Things that enclose people in a small space for a long amount of time, like transit, are causation. We know how viruses spread. We know those situations are a __cause__ of that spread.

  3. Hayduke says:

    It’s a stretch to call this a “study” when an economics professor jammed it out in a month.

  4. JOHN1000 says:

    Even worse, this was done knowingly and intentionally.

    Mayor DiBlasio and his “health” commissioner encouraged subway use saying there was no way you could get the disease by riding on a subway.

    They knew this was false. They killed people solely to keep transit money flowing.

  5. prk166 says:

    “Take precautions like you would any cold and flu season: cover sneezes and coughs with your elbows or tissues, wash your hands after you ride, and call your health care provider with concerns re: underlying health issues.” NY City Council Speaker Corey Johnson on March 5th

  6. Hayduke,

    I can easily do studies like this in less than a month. What takes time is the editorial processes required for publication. The author of this study by-passed those editorial processes by releasing it as a working paper. That doesn’t make it any less valid.

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