Search Results for: rail projects

Eight Reasons to Kill New Starts

Since 1992, federal taxpayers have helped fund construction of urban rail transit lines through a program called New Starts. This program is due to expire in 2020, and tomorrow, the Highways and Transit Subcommittee of the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee will hold a hearing on whether or not to renew it.

No doubt most of the witnesses at the hearing will be transit agency officials bragging about how their expensive projects have created jobs and generated economic development. But a close look at the projects built with this fund reveals that New Starts has done more damage to American cities than any other federal program since the urban renewal projects of the 1950s. Here are eight reasons why Congress should not renew the program.

1. New Starts encourages cities to waste money. The more expensive the project, the more money New Starts provides, so transit agencies plan increasingly expensive projects to get “their share” of the money. As a result, average light-rail construction costs have exploded from under $17 million per mile (in today’s dollars) in 1981 to more than $220 million a mile today. Continue reading

Antiplanner Policy Briefs

Policy briefs are two- to six-page in-depth analyses of important land-use and transportation issues. These were originally called Transportation Policy Briefs. Because they don’t all deal with transportation, starting with number 6 they are called Antiplanner Policy Briefs.

To make it easier to find policy briefs on specific topics, you can sort by topic. Topics include Automobiles, Government, High-Speed Rail, Highways, Housing, Intercity Passenger Trains, Natural Resources, Regional Planning, Transit, and Transportation. Some briefs cover more than one of these but only the dominant topic is listed for each brief.

#HTMLPDFTopic
150Toward Global Peace & ProsperityGovernment
149The Automobile WonAutomobiles
148Transit's Zombie FutureTransit
147America's Two Housing MarketsHousing
146America's Volatile Housing MarketsHousing
145Property Rights and the New FeudalismHousing
144Americans Fleeing Dense Cities & SuburbsRegional Planning
143Old Technologies for New StartsTransit
142The Myth of Rail MobilityIntercity Passenger Trains
141Airlines: Our #2 Source of MobilityTransportation
140A Century-Old Love of Rail MonopoliesIntercity Passenger Trains
139Traffic Safety: A Matter of DesignHighways
138Transit Crime Rates on the RiseTransit
137State and Local Highway Subsidies in 2019 and 2020Highways
136Truckers, Congestion, and Class ConflictHighways
1352021: The Year Transit Failed to RecoverTransit
134America's Rising Housing PricesHousing
133How Cato Sold Out California Property OwnersHousing
132Boulder's Open Spaces and the Marshall FireNatural Resources
131Killed by the Pandemic: The Virginia Railway ExpressTransit
130U.S. Road Conditions and Performance in 2020Highways
129Why U.S. Infrastructure Is So ExpensiveTransportation
128Sutton Mountain Wilderness Yes, Monument NoNatural Resources
127The Midwest Rail Plan: A Disaster in the MakingHigh-Speed Rail
126Mobility Principles for a Prosperous WorldTransportation
125Transit 2020: The First Year of the PandemicTransit
124A Data-Driven Approach to Transportation SafetyHighways
123The Affordable-Housing Industrial ComplexHousing
122The Truth About Western WildfireNatural Resources
121The Morality of Protecting Endangered SpeciesNatural Resources
120Addressing Droughts with Water MarketsNatural Resources
119Regional Transportation Planning After COVIDRegional Planning
118China's Red Lines: A Failure of Central PlanningHousing
117Giving Transit Its Due PriorityTransit
116Charting Transit Values and TrendsTransit
115Moving the Overton WindowGovernment
114The World's Finest RailroadsTransportation
113The Failure of Transit in the Post-COVID EraTransit
112Moving from Transit Apartheid to Transportation EquityTransit
111Cost Overruns and Ridership ShortfallsTransit
110The War on Cars and Delays to Emergency ResponseHighways
109Reinventing Transit for a Post-COVID WorldTransit
108Housing Affordability from 1950 Through 2019Housing
107How San Jose Held Up Google for $200 MillionRegional Planning
106Jane Jacobs and the Mid-Rise ManiaRegional Planning
105Does Transit Cost Effectively Help Low-Income People?Transit
104San Diego's Insane $163.5 Billion PlanRegional Planning
103$85 Billion for Empty Buses and RailcarsTransit
102The Case Against AmtrakIntercity Passenger Trains
101Restoring Trust to the Highway Trust FundHighways
100Making Massachusetts Housing AffordableHousing
99Can America's Power Plants Support Electric Vehicles?Automobiles
98Amtrak Can't Connect UsIntercity Passenger Trains
97Miami Affordable Housing ViceHousing
96Mileage-Based User Fees for Highway FinanceHighways
95Housing Affordability and the PandemicHousing
94Applying Value Engineering to Transit ProjectsTransit
93Should Seattle Aspire to Grow to 2 Million People?Housing
92Japan's Addiction: The Dark Side of the Bullet TrainsHigh-Speed Rail
91Using the Law of Large Proportions to Save EnergyAutomobiles
90Are Accidents of History Irreversible?Intercity Passenger Trains
89Transit 2020: Subsidies Up, Ridership DownTransit
88Increasing Safety, Improving the EconomyHighways
87Americans Are on the MoveHousing
86How Much Is a Trillion Dollars?Government
85Transit: Browner Than EverTransit
84Supercommuting and Marchetti’s ConstantHighways
83Closing the China-US Freeway GapHighways
82Ten Reasons Why Transit Parity Is a Bad IdeaTransit
81What Infrastructure Crisis? Highways & Bridges Are FineHighways
80How Transit Subsidies Harm Low-Income PeopleTransit
79The Obscure Origins of the Deep StateGovernment
78Conventional Buses: Transit's 93-Year-Old TechnologyTransit
77Transit's Diminishing Returns in 2019Transit
7610 Reasons Not to Build High-Speed Rail in the U.S.High-Speed Rail
75BLM: Following the MoneyNatural Resources
74High-Capacity Transit DeceptionsTransit
73New Transit Lines Won't Relieve CongestionTransit
72The Affordable Housing ScamHousing
71Recent and Long-Term Housing TrendsHousing
70The Last Pre-Pandemic Snapshot of the USATransportation
69Transit and the Mania for DensityHousing
68Rapid Bus: Finding the Right ModelTransit
67The Streetcar Intelligence TestTransit
66Which Rapid-Transit Lines Should Be Replaced with Buses?Transit
65The Transit-Industrial ComplexTransit
64Why the Hyperloop Will FailHigh-Speed Rail
63Why Trump Should Veto the Great American Outdoors ActNatural Resources
62SunFail: Orlando's Commuter-Rail DisasterTransit
61High-Speed Rail: Yesterday's Transportation TomorrowHigh-Speed Rail
60The Mystery of the Missing Motorcoach MilesTransportation
59Selling Federal Assets to Pay the National DebtNatural Resources
58To Densify or Not to Densify: The Debate ContinuesHousing
57Demand the Right to Pay for Your Own Transportation!Transportation
56Transit Lost 84 Percent of Riders in AprilTransit
55The Hubris of Central PlannersGovernment
54Reducing Poverty by Increasing Auto OwnershipAutomobiles
53Transportation After the PandemicTransportation
52The Rise and Fall of Downtown USARegional Planning
51The Virtues of Autos and SuburbsAutomobiles
50The MCU School of Transportation PlanningTransportation
49Class, Not Race, Is the Issue in the PandemicGovernment
48What Were They Thinking? Post-1980 Commuter TrainsTransit
47Transportation Resiliency in a World of Black SwansTransportation
46Light Rail DisastersTransit
45Dude, Where's My Driverless Car?Automobiles
44The Induced-Demand ConHighways
43The Futility of Trying to Reduce DrivingAutomobiles
42TriMet Compounding 40 Years of Bad DecisionsTransit
41A Critique of L.A. Metro's 28 by 2028 PlanTransit
40Time to End State & Local Highway SubsidiesHighways
392019 Ridership Numbers Reveal Transit's Dim FutureTransit
38Seattle's Anti-Auto Policies Hurt the PoorAutomobiles
37Honolulu's Terrible Folly and a Transit MysteryTransit
36Make America Affordable Again by Ending the New FeudalismHousing
35Transit Capital vs. Operating CostsTransit
3427 Quintillion Transit ChartsTransit
33Urban Transit Is an Energy HogTransit
32Costs Up, Riders Down: 2018 Transit DatabaseTransit
31A Tale of Three Private High-Speed Rail PlansHigh-Speed Rail
30Does Capital Spending Boost Transit Ridership?Transit
29Reducing Mobility to Boost TransitTransit
28Is Amtrak Guilty of Securities Fraud?Intercity Passenger Trains
27Transportation Planning for an Unattainable FantasyTransportation
26Scapegoating Ride Hailing to Justify Transit SubsidiesTransit
25Making Cities Safe for Pedestrians and CyclistsHighways
24The Case for Single-Family NeighborhoodsHousing
23Home Prices in Growth-Restricted Areas Rise HigherHousing
222018 Census Data Show Transit in DeclineTransit
21How the New Starts Fund Harms Transit RidersTransit
20Transportation Costs & Subsidies by ModeTransportation
19Congestion Is a Problem, Not a SolutionHighways
18Countering the Forest Service Fire NarrativeNatural Resources
17Debunking the Fake Farmland CrisisRegional Planning
16Should the U.S. Be More Like Europe?Transportation
15Transit Ridership Falls Another 2.9% in JuneTransit
14Solving the Amtrak ConundrumIntercity Passenger Trains
13Front Range Commuter Rail Is a Terrible IdeaTransit
12No One Forced Americans to DriveAutomobiles
11Does Rail Transit Generate Economic Development?Transit
10Los Angeles Metro’s New Climate StrategyTransit
9The Best Are None Too Good: Ranking Transit AgenciesTransit
8Reports from the Front Lines in the War on HomeownershipHousing
7Thanks to New York, April Transit Ridership Grew by 2%Transit
61,080 Transit Charts in a Single SpreadsheetTransit
5How Vital Is Transit In Your Region? Part 2: DOT DataTransit
4How Vital Is Transit In Your Region? Part 1: Census DataTransit
3Transit Death Spiral: First Quarter Ridership Down 2.6%Transit
2A Tale of Two Train Disasters: FasTracks & California High-Speed RailHigh-Speed Rail
1Transit’s Growing Costs Drive Away Low-Income CommutersTransit

11. A Few Cases

Growing up in Portland, I was taught that the city had the cleanest water in the world because it came from a watershed on the Mount Hood National Forest that had been set aside exclusively for Portland’s use. The Bull Run Trespass Act of 1904 closed the 102-square-mile Bull Run Watershed, along with a 41-square-mile buffer around it, to all public entry, and only Forest Service officials and employees of the Portland water bureau were allowed to enter the area.

This belief was so well known that a medical doctor named Joseph Miller bought a piece of land on the edge of the buffer strip and built a home. There he and his wife lived for many years, content in the knowledge that behind their house was 143 square miles of pristine wilderness that, unlike most wilderness, wasn’t even open to public recreation.

I was in Corvallis studying forestry when this myth came tumbling down in the form of a landslide in 1971. Portlanders woke up one morning to find their “pristine” water to be muddy brown, and they were advised to boil it before drinking it (as if anyone would want to drink brown water). The Forest Service hastened to announce that the landslide that had polluted the city’s water wasn’t caused by one of the clearcuts in the watershed. What it didn’t say was that the landslide was caused by a road leading to one of those clearcuts. Continue reading

10. Los Angeles Metro’s New Climate Strategy

Los Angeles is “hemorrhaging bus riders,” worries the Los Angeles Times. This is supposedly “worsening traffic and hurting climate goals.”

Click image to download a PDF of this policy brief.

L.A. Metro buses “have lost nearly 95 million trips over a decade,” the paper notes. This “25% drop is the steepest among the busiest transit systems in the United States.” Actually, Sacramento’s Regional Transit District has lost 43 percent of its bus riders in the last decade, but the Times probably doesn’t count it “among the busiest transit systems.” Continue reading

7. April Transit Ridership Grows 2%

Nationwide transit ridership in April 2019 was 2.0 percent greater than in April 2018. According to the latest ridership update from the Federal Transit Administration, this gain can be almost entirely attributed to a 6.6 percent increase in New York subway ridership, a result of ridership recovering from maintenance and repair work done in April, 2018. (See the end of this post for information on the Antiplanner’s enhanced version of the FTA data file.)

Click image to download a three-page PDF of this policy brief.

The New York urban area is the 430-pound gorilla of the transit industry, while all other transit agencies are 4 ounce to 60-pound monkeys. This means what happens in New York can swamp nationwide industry numbers and cover up things happening elsewhere. Continue reading

5. DOT Data Reveals Transit’s Irrelevance

As last week’s brief showed, census data reveal that the number of Austin-area commuters taking transit to work has declined by more than 10 percent in the last decade despite a 59 percent increase in the number of workers. Ignoring this decline, Austin city officials are seriously considering a $6 billion to $10.5 billion program to build dedicated bus lanes, light rail, or other transit improvements.

Click image to download a four-page PDF of this policy brief.

This week’s brief will look at Department of Transportation data to gather more information about how important transit is to the Austin urban area. The most important source of data is the National Transit Database, which has tracked ridership, costs, and other transit data since 1982. Continue reading

Saving the Planet by Flying

The Guardian reported yesterday about people who think they are saving the planet by giving up flying and taking the train instead. They should think again, especially for those who are Americans.

According to the 2016 edition of the Transportation Energy Data Book, Amtrak in 2014 used an average of 2,186 British thermal units (BTUs) per passenger mile in 2014, while the airlines used 2,511. Jet fuel and Diesel fuel both have about the same BTUs and produce about the same greenhouse gases per gallon, so that would seem to give rail travel an edge.

But airplanes don’t have to go around mountains or follow meandering river valleys to get to their destinations. The Amtrak route from Portland to Washington DC is 3,035 miles long, while airlines only have to go 2,350 miles. Multiply through, and the Amtrak trip used 6.6 million BTUs while the airline flight used only 5.9 million. Continue reading

1. A Tale of Two Train Disasters

In 2004, Denver-area voters approved a sale tax increase to pay for “FasTracks,” a plan to build 119 miles of rail transit lines in the metropolitan area. In 2008, California voters approved the sale of bonds to pay for the construction of a 520-mile high-speed rail line between Los Angeles/Anaheim and San Francisco/San Jose. FasTracks is within a metropolitan area and high-speed rail is supposed to connect several metropolitan areas, yet there are a lot of similarities between these two projects.

Click image to download a four-page PDF of this policy brief.

Both rely on technologies that were rendered obsolete years before they received voter approval. The agencies sponsoring both projects ignored early warning signals that the projects were not cost effective. Both had large cost overruns. Advocates of both lied to voters about the benefits and costs of the projects. Due to poor planning, both projects remain incomplete. Despite the failure of the projects to date, both have adherents who hope to complete them. Continue reading

Is This Infrastructure Really Necessary?

The United States has “at least $232 billion in critical public transportation” needs, claims the American Public Transportation Association (APTA). Among the “critically needed” infrastructure on APTA’s list are a streetcar in downtown Los Angeles, another one in downtown Sacramento (which local voters have rejected), one in Tempe, and streetcar extensions in Tampa and Kansas City.

Get real: even ardent transit advocates admit that streetcars are stupid. The economic development benefits that supposedly come from streetcars are purely imaginary, and even if they weren’t, it would be hard to describe streetcars — whose average speed, APTA admits, is less than 7.5 miles per hour — as “critically needed.”

Much of the nation’s transit infrastructure is falling apart, and the Department of Transportation has identified $100 billion of infrastructure backlog needs. (Page l — that is, Roman numeral 50 — of the report indicates a backlog of $89.9 billion in 2012 dollars. Converting to 2019 dollars brings this up to $100 billion.) Yet APTA’s “critical needs” list includes only $24 billion worth of “state of good repair” projects. Just about all of the other “needs” listed — $142 billion worth — are new projects or extensions of existing projects. Continue reading

Stopping Transportation Megafollies

A commentary in Governing magazine argues that the Trump administration erred in demanding that California return the federal grants used to build its incomplete high-speed rail project. After all, the alternative to not building it is to build it, and that would require at least another $35 billion in federal funds, which Trump does not want to provide.

The other problem is that demanding a refund for incomplete projects creates a perverse incentive for states and cities to finish projects even after they have realized they are a waste of money. “Sometimes common sense wins out only after construction of a megafolly has begun,” says the commentary. “States and cities shouldn’t have to complete projects that they never should have started just to avoid returning federal money they’ve already spent.”

The commentary specifically cites the Honolulu rail line, whose costs have grown from $5 billion when it received federal funding to nearly $10 billion today. The project has been so mismanaged that the Federal Transit Administration has filed three subpoenas for thousands of pages of records. The city probably has enough money to finish 16 miles of the planned 20-mile line, but if the federal government demands a refund if the entire line isn’t finished, it will have to impose another $3 billion or more in taxes on local taxpayers to finish a white elephant. Continue reading